PolyBot

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Traders

0xAbE40E6f32d711089B82E777A0dCC24a59f15EBb-1772369579882

0xabe40e6f32d711089b82e777a0dcc24a59f15ebb

Realised P&L
$-6.07
Volume
$462.47
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$13.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? · Yes0.0350.034$4.93−$0.07
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.595$3.37+$0.37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4600.345$3.00−$1.00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1700.061$1.09−$1.91
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.1900.175$0.92−$0.08
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Iran strike five countries in March? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 14:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4599999563$4.00
10-29 14:29Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?BUY0.0345099584$5.00
10-29 14:28Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5299999399$3.00
10-29 14:27Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-29 14:21Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?BUY0.0489999998$3.00
03-03 21:47Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
03-03 21:23Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY0.0510000004$1.00
03-03 08:40Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.1$1.00
03-03 08:40Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
03-02 22:52Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL0.445036036$7.90
03-02 22:51Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.1699999609$3.00
03-02 22:47Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?SELL0.371$4.06
03-01 23:19Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
03-01 16:36US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?SELL0.944$0.96
03-01 15:45Will Iran strike five countries in March?BUY0.059999946$1.00