0xAbE40E6f32d711089B82E777A0dCC24a59f15EBb-1772369579882
0xabe40e6f32d711089b82e777a0dcc24a59f15ebb
- Realised P&L
- $-6.07
- Volume
- $462.47
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $13.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.91at 0.394Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$0.06at 0.365Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
- +$-0.01at 0.997Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?
- +$-0.04at 0.980US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4599999563 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 14:29 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? | BUY | 0.0345099584 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 14:28 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 14:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0489999998 | $3.00 |
| 03-03 21:47 | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 21:23 | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? | BUY | 0.0510000004 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 08:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 08:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 22:52 | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SELL | 0.445036036 | $7.90 |
| 03-02 22:51 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 22:47 | Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.371 | $4.06 |
| 03-01 23:19 | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 16:36 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | SELL | 0.944 | $0.96 |
| 03-01 15:45 | Will Iran strike five countries in March? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |