0xABE21c688c56e5CAee02146c4c14f49f894c87f5-1759216498161
0xabe21c688c56e5caee02146c4c14f49f894c87f5
- Realised P&L
- $-103.10
- Volume
- $989.33
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.080 | $14.06 | −$28.13 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.90 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.100Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 10:38 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999954 | $31.51 |
| 06-01 10:29 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $10.68 |
| 04-07 19:36 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | SELL | 0.22 | $14.30 |
| 04-07 05:50 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.50 |
| 10-19 08:23 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.119999991 | $11.20 |
| 10-17 08:52 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 10-17 08:52 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 15:31 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 10-14 15:31 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.2899999869 | $13.70 |
| 09-30 07:49 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:48 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.2199999967 | $40.00 |