0x0cdf0c746AfD08e0fd9305CCdDC09F1Aa9ceEe0C-1777359793951
0xabcc3011863081254ed636a599dfcfeafc03d148
- Realised P&L
- $-53.08
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $115.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.14at 0.696Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?
- +$31.48at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?
- +$30.52at 0.907Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
- +$22.34at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?
- +$21.40at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9561752985 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.882596059 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.06375 | $2.55 |
| 07-09 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.0540260887 | $5.51 |
| 07-09 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.0898612023 | $9.58 |
| 07-09 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-09 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 07-09 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.4794051455 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.997 | $216.28 |
| 07-08 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.9219394827 | $200.00 |
| 07-08 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $109.23 |
| 07-08 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 07-08 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.62 |
| 07-08 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |