0xABb872a595d4F6f567A3E6D9B4784E8e2F306324-1770661075466
0xabb872a595d4f6f567a3e6d9b4784e8e2f306324
- Realised P&L
- $106.26
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $316.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.79at 0.060Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$92.11at 0.178Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$81.21at 0.330Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
- +$26.60at 0.530Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 16:51 | Will the Golden State Warriors be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.0148454452 | $0.29 |
| 06-30 16:49 | Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.1507577935 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 16:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.6475053356 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 13:46 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2099999934 | $25.00 |
| 06-18 15:30 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3838266327 | $30.00 |
| 06-03 01:09 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999916 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 01:00 | Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.0459494514 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 12:26 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.356 | $101.46 |
| 05-26 23:49 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.0510000002 | $15.00 |
| 05-23 20:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $14.24 |
| 05-18 20:16 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 05-17 23:52 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 11:30 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.132 | $17.47 |
| 05-12 01:33 | Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | BUY | 0.1671350534 | $30.00 |
| 05-10 17:46 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |