natestrats
0xabac1d182e44788f4383738141e9c4cb3dbd52d0
- Realised P&L
- $-9.21
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $78.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.37at 0.084Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$60.19at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$52.92at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$45.57at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$38.73at 0.032Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:32 | Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.4302486852 | $5.73 |
| 10-01 17:32 | Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.94 |
| 10-01 17:30 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.26 |
| 10-01 17:28 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-01 17:26 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.14 |
| 10-01 17:26 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.19 |
| 09-22 19:41 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-18 20:33 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 09-18 20:28 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 09-13 15:56 | Spread: Raiders (-3.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $3.30 |
| 09-13 15:55 | Browns vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5 | SELL | 0.48 | $7.20 |
| 09-02 14:27 | Buccaneers vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-02 14:21 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-02 14:20 | Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-02 14:20 | Browns vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |