PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iamnottungsten

0xaba8c7bd4d24bbbdbfcc1ecefd9aacb675844bac

Realised P&L
$-31.22
Volume
$835.03
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$86.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.3640.435$20.78+$3.38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.415$20.03$7.97
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4740.495$18.58+$0.78
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3350.295$11.80$1.60
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3800.305$8.03$1.97
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.765$5.98+$0.98
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.2870.073$1.28$3.72
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4800.000$0.00$9.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 02:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999826$9.94
08-31 02:54Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.45$8.69
08-23 08:00Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.286999972$5.00
08-21 03:19Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
08-21 03:162026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3799999833$10.00
08-12 03:19Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.6989999962$5.00
08-12 03:05Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$6.20
08-12 03:05Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.48$19.20
08-12 02:22Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.031$6.20
07-24 17:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.45$4.50
07-13 02:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.206$4.12
07-04 16:06Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
07-04 16:04Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-03 06:10Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
06-25 03:53Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.1099999032$1.00