iamnottungsten
0xaba8c7bd4d24bbbdbfcc1ecefd9aacb675844bac
- Realised P&L
- $-31.22
- Volume
- $835.03
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $86.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.435 | $20.78 | +$3.38 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.415 | $20.03 | −$7.97 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.495 | $18.58 | +$0.78 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.295 | $11.80 | −$1.60 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.380 | 0.305 | $8.03 | −$1.97 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.765 | $5.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.287 | 0.073 | $1.28 | −$3.72 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.56at 0.032Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$10.50at 0.400Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$4.19at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$4.00at 0.370Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- +$2.09at 0.707Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 02:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999826 | $9.94 |
| 08-31 02:54 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.69 |
| 08-23 08:00 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.286999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 03:19 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 03:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 03:19 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.6989999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 03:05 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-12 03:05 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $19.20 |
| 08-12 02:22 | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 07-24 17:04 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 07-13 02:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.206 | $4.12 |
| 07-04 16:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 16:04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 06:10 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 03:53 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |