nutty4
0xaba76a6bcc22b0895a0204bbe7534db6c673c47a
- Realised P&L
- $-51.11
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $4.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · No | 0.440 | 0.240 | $2.73 | −$2.27 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.628 | 0.206 | $1.08 | −$2.22 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $0.20 | −$4.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET · Down | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up | 0.437 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.63at 0.808Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$2.23at 0.490Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?
- +$0.94at 0.542Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?
- +$0.03at 0.567Ethereum Up or Down on September 3?
- +$-0.28at 0.180Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-22 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-22 11:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.31 |
| 09-21 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-21 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-21 19:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6279999376 | $3.30 |
| 09-21 09:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.291 | $3.24 |
| 09-21 01:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0122370799 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 01:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.4489999783 | $5.00 |