ludan168
0xab9e2a1e26192d9d13fb811e643225968ab6ac3e
- Realised P&L
- $-45.64
- Volume
- $183.3k
- Markets traded
- 497
- Open portfolio
- $9.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded497
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.074 | $3.70 | −$1.30 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? · No | 0.020 | 0.021 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.020 | $2.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.010 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.00at 0.057Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$249.50at 0.076Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 9?
- +$227.03at 0.062Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$184.00at 0.040Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?
- +$149.94at 0.124Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | SELL | 0.823 | $82.30 |
| 08-07 17:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 17:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 16:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 16:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:46 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 15:46 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 15:46 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:08 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.52 |
| 07-15 20:05 | Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.19 | $10.07 |
| 07-14 18:08 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 18:06 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 18:06 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 18:05 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 18:05 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |