hellopredictmonstdddd
0xab96577cb58aa9b578d20bf31db8b9a8c8bd8c9f
- Realised P&L
- $-267.95
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $8.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos | 0.460 | 0.475 | $4.75 | +$0.15 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles · Lotte Giants | 0.470 | 0.355 | $3.55 | −$1.15 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.74 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.926 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.04 |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Warriors | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Kings vs. Knicks · Kings | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.65 |
| Bulls vs. Heat · Heat | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.52 |
| Hurricanes vs. Capitals · Hurricanes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.48 |
| Blackhawks vs. Wild · Blackhawks | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Celtics · Trail Blazers | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves · Thunder | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Hawks vs. Pacers · Hawks | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.99 |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies · Timberwolves | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.62at 0.300Trail Blazers vs. Wizards
- +$8.31at 0.905Rockets vs. Pistons
- +$7.32at 0.904Spurs vs. Jazz
- +$6.78at 0.913Cavaliers vs. Hornets
- +$6.58at 0.907Lakers vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 17:57 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.12 | $59.74 |
| 06-02 09:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.80 |
| 05-20 07:51 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 05-20 07:51 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 04-13 06:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.83 |
| 04-13 06:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8699999851 | $7.00 |
| 04-13 06:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 03-15 16:27 | Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | SELL | 0.3862 | $38.62 |
| 03-15 16:27 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | SELL | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 03-12 07:50 | Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 03-12 07:49 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 02-11 17:42 | Pistons vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 02-11 17:27 | Pistons vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 02-03 04:25 | 76ers vs. Clippers | SELL | 0.09 | $0.47 |
| 02-02 16:18 | Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.71 | $2.84 |