megastorage
0xab92bddbcd21dc7c96bf7e0118b2f11a3c1715dd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $174.3k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · No | 0.178 | 0.587 | $443.19 | +$308.80 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.975 | $425.86 | +$67.52 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $60 | 0.700 | 0.771 | $245.95 | +$22.65 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.808 | 0.413 | $85.90 | −$82.16 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.190 | $6.08 | −$8.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$452.35at 0.170Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
- +$416.69at 0.240Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?
- +$349.75at 0.230Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$284.34at 0.820Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
- +$278.82at 0.116Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:46 | Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit? | SELL | 0.41 | $215.25 |
| 04-27 09:45 | Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 04-27 08:50 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 04-24 04:42 | Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.29 | $153.70 |
| 04-21 08:23 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $200.46 |
| 04-13 09:12 | Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.191 | $5.35 |
| 04-11 16:53 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $628.35 |
| 04-10 02:44 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $577.28 |
| 04-10 01:19 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $551.44 |
| 04-09 23:27 | Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.905 | $523.09 |
| 04-09 14:19 | Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.79 | $703.89 |
| 04-09 11:38 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.15 | $12.60 |
| 04-09 11:01 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.379 | $315.33 |
| 04-07 23:26 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.378 | $314.50 |
| 04-07 22:46 | Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | BUY | 0.178 | $134.39 |