LeDrillenisse
0xab8b02bf669e5afbcde97c4cd24e8d83a804488d
- Realised P&L
- $-584.78
- Volume
- $23.9k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $585.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.24at 0.245Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$33.49at 0.229US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$15.09at 0.530US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$14.69at 0.320Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$14.52at 0.555Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 21:03 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999963 | $28.78 |
| 07-26 12:56 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0983966602 | $9.28 |
| 07-25 20:03 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 19:59 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 14:56 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.4429999971 | $18.71 |
| 07-25 14:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5089918893 | $21.34 |
| 07-24 16:51 | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1459854015 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 20:35 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1033303086 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 22:12 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4769999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 22:08 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? | BUY | 0.5929999902 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 20:25 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1397430746 | $15.79 |
| 07-20 20:24 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.958 | $34.52 |
| 07-20 20:24 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.5887110842 | $19.44 |
| 07-20 20:24 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.35 | $24.06 |
| 07-20 20:24 | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1568627451 | $20.00 |