PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xAB856Ec4E602ba8EA4b2c1F99958230aA34A5da3-1772426814110

0xab856ec4e602ba8ea4b2c1f99958230aa34a5da3

Realised P&L
$-76.6k
Volume
$323.1k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$12.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5380.075$11.0k$67.7k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1520.044$1.5k$3.6k
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$1.9k
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$346.76
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00$999.99

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-23 15:08Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.018$45.56
03-22 00:10Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0166689866$151.23
03-21 20:42Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3799999997$412.22
03-21 20:41Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0132884059$150.00
03-21 20:40Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.0115575106$562.22
03-17 18:03Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0459999996$107.44
03-17 18:03Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.16$370.00
03-16 03:47Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0369999997$134.74
03-16 03:42Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0369999994$60.00
03-15 17:49Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0356110678$596.42
03-15 17:49Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0349032513$100.00
03-13 23:33Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.2792290101$999.99
03-13 22:53Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0455823443$459.00
03-13 22:52Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.1399999999$1.5k
03-13 22:52Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0439999999$500.00