0xAB856Ec4E602ba8EA4b2c1F99958230aA34A5da3-1772426814110
0xab856ec4e602ba8ea4b2c1f99958230aa34a5da3
- Realised P&L
- $-76.6k
- Volume
- $323.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.075 | $11.0k | −$67.7k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.044 | $1.5k | −$3.6k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$346.76 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.99 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 15:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $45.56 |
| 03-22 00:10 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0166689866 | $151.23 |
| 03-21 20:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $412.22 |
| 03-21 20:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0132884059 | $150.00 |
| 03-21 20:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.0115575106 | $562.22 |
| 03-17 18:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0459999996 | $107.44 |
| 03-17 18:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $370.00 |
| 03-16 03:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0369999997 | $134.74 |
| 03-16 03:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0369999994 | $60.00 |
| 03-15 17:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0356110678 | $596.42 |
| 03-15 17:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0349032513 | $100.00 |
| 03-13 23:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2792290101 | $999.99 |
| 03-13 22:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0455823443 | $459.00 |
| 03-13 22:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1.5k |
| 03-13 22:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $500.00 |