HappyFunTimeLarry
0xab6c885b3ae051e7903198f5f99269a905a14bb7
- Realised P&L
- $-782.16
- Volume
- $87.8k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $98.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.82at 0.110Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.40at 0.840Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$8.00at 0.392Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.88at 0.894Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
- +$-0.39at 0.026Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:02 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1809999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 14:54 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9609999981 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 14:54 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 14:53 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 14:53 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7019999912 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.941999991 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899999892 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3415689028 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.2990654206 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 14:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |