dve4778
0xab69601277a2d6717c8be9619ed976c219d477f1
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $168.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $31.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$804.67at 0.273Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$676.27at 0.350Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$470.00at 0.652Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$433.61at 0.720Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$269.08at 0.711Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 14:45 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.317 | $31.70 |
| 01-25 19:59 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.241 | $24.23 |
| 01-11 18:46 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.0815794075 | $48.99 |
| 01-11 18:46 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.030056293 | $60.11 |
| 12-22 23:20 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.0470760966 | $213.35 |
| 12-08 20:02 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.0699980336 | $500.49 |
| 12-07 04:23 | Duke vs. Virginia | SELL | 0.9315 | $9.31 |
| 12-07 03:01 | Ohio State vs. Indiana | SELL | 0.27 | $17.76 |
| 12-06 16:24 | Georgia vs. Alabama | SELL | 0.47 | $25.00 |
| 12-06 16:18 | Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | SELL | 0.4 | $38.46 |
| 12-06 16:18 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06? | SELL | 0.34 | $18.08 |
| 12-06 14:05 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06? | BUY | 0.4699999932 | $25.00 |
| 12-06 14:04 | Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999927 | $25.00 |
| 12-06 13:49 | Duke vs. Virginia | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |
| 12-06 13:49 | Ohio State vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |