tkdnbb
0xab56c9c692f3b750ed944b3261a75b4b39b386d2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $264.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.012 | 0.005 | $1.2k | −$1.4k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.715 | $541.67 | +$41.67 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.055 | $364.11 | −$251.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.94at 0.993NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$34.58at 0.950Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.22at 0.629Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$-96.76at 0.792Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$-132.68at 0.401Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 23:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.007 | $92.00 |
| 10-28 23:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $600.00 |
| 10-27 23:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0109597888 | $98.00 |
| 10-27 23:24 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.05 | $98.76 |
| 10-27 14:38 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $416.00 |
| 10-27 14:37 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.07 | $414.79 |
| 10-25 13:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $657.00 |
| 10-25 13:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0094713752 | $600.00 |
| 10-25 12:28 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1829826167 | $500.00 |
| 10-25 12:26 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1934915345 | $1.0k |
| 10-25 12:25 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $56.16 |
| 10-25 12:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9780897227 | $2.7k |
| 10-20 14:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.01 | $2.29 |
| 10-14 13:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.01 | $24.11 |
| 10-14 13:46 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.38 | $21.03 |