FuturosImperfeitos
0xab3c21a8818c54199433f951eddc073f63494b3c
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $67.2k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $367.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $119.94 | +$19.14 |
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.013 | $54.11 | +$13.98 |
| Lula participates in debate before first round? · No | 0.422 | 0.390 | $50.69 | −$4.20 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.698 | 0.644 | $45.08 | −$3.78 |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.285 | $28.50 | +$8.50 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.010 | $27.08 | −$157.40 |
| Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.050 | $26.37 | −$25.79 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No | 0.161 | 0.021 | $11.22 | −$73.07 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · No | 0.520 | 0.755 | $4.72 | +$1.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$657.53at 0.687Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
- +$107.50at 0.018Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$87.89at 0.120Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- +$72.89at 0.835US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$50.91at 0.496Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 01:27 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.85 |
| 08-16 23:07 | Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0313333333 | $2.35 |
| 08-13 10:42 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.96 |
| 08-11 12:05 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.84 |
| 08-03 01:43 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.14 |
| 07-26 23:01 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 07-25 10:26 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.02 |
| 07-24 23:30 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.10 |
| 07-16 14:12 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.02 |
| 07-15 11:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.196 | $29.99 |
| 07-15 10:57 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 10:56 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $20.09 |
| 07-11 10:27 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 07-11 10:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |