Sigony
0xab350b12c5f4a3ea4261c7acb590c422f9cdc040
- Realised P&L
- $82.88
- Volume
- $188.6k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $495.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.485 | $495.93 | +$157.78 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$624.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$444.62at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$166.87at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$78.12at 0.910Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$54.96at 0.944Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$44.82at 0.943Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 10:10 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.5792299184 | $528.92 |
| 07-05 09:59 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $61.20 |
| 07-05 09:58 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $242.22 |
| 07-05 09:57 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $23.53 |
| 07-05 09:57 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $11.20 |
| 05-12 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $953.34 |
| 05-04 18:33 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $951.14 |
| 05-02 21:27 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $525.76 |
| 04-29 11:28 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $941.11 |
| 04-22 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.36 |
| 04-19 19:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $932.84 |
| 04-09 20:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9433834671 | $888.02 |
| 04-09 20:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.997011236 | $887.34 |
| 04-06 17:58 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $888.10 |
| 04-05 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $88.93 |