GenevaSun
0xab30b8841b7187da12dee0f888a7ab0d13b6d8ce
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 997
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded997
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.028 | $1.2k | +$190.41 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.028 | $669.42 | +$206.91 |
| Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.045 | $442.28 | +$134.24 |
| Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.026 | $390.00 | −$69.99 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.230 | $28.81 | +$3.76 |
| Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) · FC Internazionale Milano | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Lakers vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) · Spain | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.65 |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5) · FC Internazionale Milano | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) · Club Atlético de Madrid | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5) · Como 1907 | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.20 |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) · Arsenal FC | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Getafe win on 2025-11-23? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$544.70at 0.054Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$477.40at 0.907Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$250.48at 0.144Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$230.13at 0.038Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$203.38at 0.198Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:02 | Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.032 | $279.05 |
| 09-20 11:51 | ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 16:05 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 09-19 16:04 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5) | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 18:55 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.22 | $65.87 |
| 09-13 17:18 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.79 | $395.00 |
| 09-13 14:41 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9 | $121.98 |
| 09-13 07:32 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.41 | $205.00 |
| 09-12 19:35 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.31 | $46.50 |
| 09-12 16:40 | Spread: FC Lorient (-2.5) | BUY | 0.074 | $7.40 |
| 09-12 16:29 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.38 | $47.41 |
| 09-12 16:21 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.36 | $108.00 |
| 09-12 16:17 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.38 | $89.27 |
| 09-10 17:57 | Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 15:24 | Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5) | BUY | 0.054 | $5.40 |