0xab2a087642a164de7b92052374c2ca19e72c7dcf
0xab2a087642a164de7b92052374c2ca19e72c7dcf
- Realised P&L
- $116.67
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $214.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.305 | $105.17 | +$5.05 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.491 | 0.586 | $83.50 | +$13.50 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.056 | $23.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.225 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.90at 0.516Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$27.30at 0.511Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
- +$10.05at 0.348Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 12?
- +$9.23at 0.766Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
- +$1.05at 0.323Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.402 | $0.98 |
| 10-30 09:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4079998988 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 09:19 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.97 |
| 10-30 09:17 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:09 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 10-29 13:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.168 | $0.92 |
| 10-28 06:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.954 | $286.20 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 08:50 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.2899999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 13:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4949999951 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 07:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4807581941 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 07:20 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.0302439021 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 04:26 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 04:24 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 09-27 12:15 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |