PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Oliverdfb

0xab26d9b4423c5c37f119338345e8c3d7d29e7736

Realised P&L
$98.97
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$113.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Texas State (-14.5) · Colorado State0.5300.525$91.35−$0.87
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No0.9990.997$21.96−$0.04
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$16.10
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.4800.000$0.00−$29.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 11:51Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.998$711.28
10-13 11:51Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$6.00
10-13 11:51Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.999$435.00
10-13 11:50Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.998$357.14
10-13 11:50Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.999$277.00
10-13 11:49Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.998$357.13
10-13 11:49Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.001$0.73
10-13 11:49Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.999$715.00
10-13 11:48Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.998$731.53
10-13 11:48Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$8.00
10-13 11:48Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.998$181.07
10-13 11:47Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.998$543.20
10-13 11:47Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18?BUY0.999$8.00
10-13 11:46Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.999$725.00
10-13 03:03Spread: Texas State (-14.5)BUY0.53$92.22