Oliverdfb
0xab26d9b4423c5c37f119338345e8c3d7d29e7736
- Realised P&L
- $98.97
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $113.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas State (-14.5) · Colorado State | 0.530 | 0.525 | $91.35 | −$0.87 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $21.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.10 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.98at 0.500Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$324.72at 0.500Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$128.83at 0.500Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$32.11at 0.500Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$30.81at 0.500Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:51 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.998 | $711.28 |
| 10-13 11:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 11:51 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.999 | $435.00 |
| 10-13 11:50 | Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.998 | $357.14 |
| 10-13 11:50 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.999 | $277.00 |
| 10-13 11:49 | Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.998 | $357.13 |
| 10-13 11:49 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.73 |
| 10-13 11:49 | Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.999 | $715.00 |
| 10-13 11:48 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.998 | $731.53 |
| 10-13 11:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 10-13 11:48 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.998 | $181.07 |
| 10-13 11:47 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.998 | $543.20 |
| 10-13 11:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 10-13 11:46 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.999 | $725.00 |
| 10-13 03:03 | Spread: Texas State (-14.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $92.22 |