cabbage
0xab2606e2a4f615b10ab51845b5f8d540aa0db1f5
- Realised P&L
- $-161.53
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $17.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.690 | 0.645 | $4.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.780 | 0.720 | $4.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Trump say "5000" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.100 | 0.075 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Trump say "Somalia" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.350 | 0.240 | $3.43 | −$1.57 |
| Will Trump say "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.540 | 0.330 | $0.66 | −$0.42 |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · No | 0.691 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$261.06 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.21at 0.664Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$170.32at 0.701Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$109.87at 0.834Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
- +$99.32at 0.600Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
- +$57.32at 0.579Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:00 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.78 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 10-02 14:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 12-05 18:19 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.2171872075 | $240.62 |
| 12-05 18:09 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? | BUY | 0.0083465487 | $10.00 |
| 12-05 18:02 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? | SELL | 0.9938306765 | $250.62 |
| 12-04 13:49 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? | BUY | 0.5999999992 | $151.31 |
| 12-04 13:49 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? | SELL | 0.407302288 | $151.31 |
| 12-04 11:04 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $161.06 |
| 12-03 10:59 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | BUY | 0.6033966016 | $100.00 |
| 12-03 10:58 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7757334658 | $200.00 |
| 12-03 10:58 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? | BUY | 0.8686579233 | $300.00 |
| 12-03 10:54 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5? | SELL | 0.9746236121 | $761.05 |
| 12-02 17:46 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? | BUY | 0.6146994422 | $16.07 |
| 12-02 17:45 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.07 |