16xiang777
0xab238316d02d876b75d5f83acffee31bb4b1b836
- Realised P&L
- $50.92
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.450 | $1.31 | −$1.19 |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.024 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.50at 0.210US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.21at 0.850Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$4.64at 0.350Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$4.59at 0.990Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$2.46at 0.670Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:26 | Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 13:37 | Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.0145377652 | $3.90 |
| 03-28 13:28 | Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.99 | $454.90 |
| 03-28 13:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.997 | $477.99 |
| 03-21 15:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $3.51 |
| 03-21 15:02 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.9919999997 | $475.60 |
| 03-21 01:24 | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL | 0.98 | $474.81 |
| 03-21 01:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.52 |
| 03-15 00:49 | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.981 | $475.30 |
| 03-15 00:47 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0085878966 | $2.23 |
| 03-08 14:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.46 |
| 03-08 14:04 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | SELL | 0.992 | $495.00 |
| 03-04 06:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 06:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.10 |
| 03-04 06:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | BUY | 0.992 | $495.00 |