0xab1d1afc120a02b4829c8ccaca54cba405ef2549
0xab1d1afc120a02b4829c8ccaca54cba405ef2549
- Realised P&L
- $7.30
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 758
- Open portfolio
- $30.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded758
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.442 | 0.579 | $10.47 | +$2.47 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.852 | 0.960 | $4.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.935 | $3.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 1.000 | $3.70 | +$2.70 |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No | 0.858 | 0.982 | $3.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · Yes | 0.640 | 0.490 | $1.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.325 | $1.34 | −$0.66 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.115 | $1.21 | −$2.79 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.35at 0.213Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$22.11at 0.468Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.89at 0.530United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$19.59at 0.564Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$19.40at 0.344Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:54 | Will Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:59 | Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:47 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:13 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:24 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 14:23 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 17:58 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 07:35 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 00:27 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:26 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:37 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 20:23 | Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |