PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xab1d1afc120a02b4829c8ccaca54cba405ef2549

Realised P&L
$69.85
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
605
Open portfolio
$50.51

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded605
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4020.531$7.94+$1.94
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.8650.850$4.91$0.09
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3680.272$4.42$1.58
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6450.665$4.13+$0.13
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3800.325$3.42$0.58
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No0.8580.960$3.35+$0.35
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7350.747$3.05+$0.05
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.8570.845$2.96$0.04
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.5500.525$2.86$0.14
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · No0.4130.295$2.86$1.14
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Stefanos Tsitsipas0.6400.645$2.02+$0.02
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.6600.655$1.98$0.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.6800.795$1.17+$0.17
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.2500.270$1.08+$0.08
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · Yes0.8900.900$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:28Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.78$1.00
08-04 06:27Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-04 06:26Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
08-04 06:24Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
08-04 00:26National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Tamara KorpatschBUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-03 20:59Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit KoprivaBUY0.8699999913$1.00
08-03 19:32National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.64$1.00
08-03 16:39National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.64$1.00
08-03 03:01Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarBUY0.63$1.00
08-03 02:24Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-02 21:51Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-02 20:40Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.75$1.00
08-02 20:08Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-02 20:07Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.91$1.00
08-02 19:21Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarBUY0.6$1.00