0xaB18AD401C0BB87c68614a6a3295cE0b4B25d7fA-1735956359004
0xab18ad401c0bb87c68614a6a3295ce0b4b25d7fa
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $30.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar27.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Cowboys · Buccaneers | 0.200 | 0.195 | $30.42 | −$0.78 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs · FURIA | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.25 |
| Buccaneers vs. Saints · Saints | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$945.00 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.629 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.21 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.89 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.11 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons · Celtics | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$946.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.28 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda · Zachary Svajda | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.550Magic vs. 76ers
- +$2.9kat 0.379Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?
- +$980.00at 0.650Heat vs. Magic
- +$29.92at 0.660Grizzlies vs. Warriors
- +$29.00at 0.500Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:00 | Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.2 | $31.20 |
| 08-30 01:37 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | BUY | 0.75 | $27.00 |
| 07-29 11:53 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.68 | $16.99 |
| 06-30 02:13 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $16.00 |
| 06-01 09:17 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.13 | $11.05 |
| 04-22 09:36 | Magic vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.78 | $26.94 |
| 03-19 09:53 | South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | BUY | 0.64 | $27.93 |
| 02-20 12:12 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | BUY | 0.73 | $18.25 |
| 01-12 13:13 | Texans vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.59 | $10.03 |
| 12-05 13:34 | Heat vs. Magic | BUY | 0.65 | $1.8k |
| 11-25 12:01 | Magic vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.55 | $160.60 |
| 10-26 15:24 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.43 | $946.00 |
| 10-26 15:20 | Buccaneers vs. Saints | BUY | 0.35 | $945.00 |
| 10-10 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 10-10 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10? | BUY | 0.3775 | $1.5k |