mmaket
0xab16a64988383fd0a1b062d0b35269f160fdd5dc
- Realised P&L
- $-871.88
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $711.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.065 | $352.86 | −$550.90 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.045 | $181.51 | −$304.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.095 | $117.16 | −$136.66 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.165 | $49.50 | −$31.50 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.045 | $9.22 | −$13.72 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.022 | $1.10 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.22at 0.754Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$3.29at 0.610US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$0.65at 0.653US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$0.40at 0.300Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$0.33at 0.725Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 16:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $179.02 |
| 06-12 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.18 |
| 06-07 02:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $108.00 |
| 06-05 00:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $21.12 |
| 06-05 00:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-05 00:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 00:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499750038 | $300.00 |
| 06-02 17:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $61.15 |
| 05-22 21:18 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 05-22 21:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $18.90 |
| 05-22 21:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 05-22 21:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 05-22 21:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 05-22 21:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 04-23 08:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |