196874353278
0xab155a20ff29debee4128e9dd1ea6ab8541c46e5
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $160.5k
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.030S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
- +$266.67at 0.554Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$119.59at 0.626Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$107.81at 0.021S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$88.11at 0.032S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 10:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 16? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-12 10:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 16? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-12 10:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 18? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 10-12 10:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 18? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 10-12 10:35 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 12? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.60 |
| 10-12 10:33 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0180068815 | $0.58 |
| 10-12 10:26 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0194906771 | $0.20 |
| 10-12 10:25 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 12? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.24 |
| 10-12 10:24 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0194906771 | $0.20 |
| 10-12 10:24 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on October 12? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.16 |
| 10-12 10:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 16? | SELL | 0.0055 | $0.05 |
| 10-12 10:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 16? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.66 |
| 10-12 10:23 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on October 12? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 10-12 10:16 | XRP Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.31 |
| 10-12 10:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.52 |