196874353278
0xab155a20ff29debee4128e9dd1ea6ab8541c46e5
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $122.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.029S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
- +$88.11at 0.032S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 29?
- +$83.20at 0.230Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$62.68at 0.027Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
- +$62.22at 0.359Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? | SELL | 0.5001442308 | $104.03 |
| 08-04 13:51 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.42 |
| 08-04 08:45 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.749851023 | $6.04 |
| 08-04 08:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.749 | $52.43 |
| 08-04 06:16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $44.65 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.92 |
| 08-04 06:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9099999943 | $147.58 |
| 08-03 17:57 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 3? | SELL | 0.949 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 11:21 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 11:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999262 | $2.52 |
| 08-03 11:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999993 | $68.04 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 08-03 06:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9499962727 | $259.17 |
| 07-31 15:09 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9799999975 | $39.56 |