0xaB0e283a7dddA3b1689E015a45841c575e94ECB7-1734251669112
0xab0e283a7ddda3b1689e015a45841c575e94ecb7
- Realised P&L
- $30.93
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $39.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.999 | $23.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $16.93 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.500Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$0.35at 0.995Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$0.32at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
- +$0.22at 0.991Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.997Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 00:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.90 |
| 08-08 00:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $23.00 |
| 08-06 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.9939999673 | $28.00 |
| 07-31 14:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.73 |
| 07-30 21:29 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999366 | $14.00 |
| 07-28 20:12 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.9969999735 | $24.30 |
| 07-27 00:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.00 |
| 07-26 14:43 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.70 |
| 07-17 22:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9979999663 | $24.00 |
| 07-16 19:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999366 | $14.00 |
| 07-15 20:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9960135861 | $22.80 |
| 07-13 21:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999585 | $12.00 |
| 07-13 21:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9939999619 | $23.50 |
| 07-12 01:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $10.50 |
| 07-11 18:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.30 |