0xaB0e283a7dddA3b1689E015a45841c575e94ECB7-1734251669112
0xab0e283a7ddda3b1689e015a45841c575e94ecb7
- Realised P&L
- $31.69
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $38.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.996 | 0.964 | $27.97 | −$0.93 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.996 | $10.17 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.500Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$0.35at 0.995Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$0.32at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
- +$0.22at 0.991Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.997Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.20 |
| 10-12 00:04 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $25.00 |
| 10-09 00:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 10-07 08:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9967261723 | $18.20 |
| 10-04 11:38 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 09-30 12:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.99799995 | $13.06 |
| 09-29 03:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | BUY | 0.9959999976 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 09:49 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 23:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.36 |
| 09-17 10:46 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.40 |
| 09-12 00:25 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.90 |
| 09-06 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 09-05 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.60 |
| 08-30 12:46 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 08-27 20:01 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.9979999847 | $24.11 |