PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xab0C4B39397B6F2Bd6ed81a936399f0da95e2cA3-1767532072927

0xab0c4b39397b6f2bd6ed81a936399f0da95e2ca3

Realised P&L
$-10.4k
Volume
$153.0k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.3380.046$511.50$3.2k
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2300.185$412.80$100.41
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.059$268.12$731.87
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3700.065$195.00$914.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6110.000$0.00$3.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 01:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.0221712286$124.16
06-13 15:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.45$4.50
06-13 15:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.45$180.00
06-13 15:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.45$450.00
06-13 00:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.59$295.00
06-13 00:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.59$118.00
06-13 00:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.59$118.00
05-16 12:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9$1.6k
04-23 15:04Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.89$1.3k
04-23 14:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?SELL0.9$1.3k
04-22 10:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.8499999994$1.2k
04-22 10:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.9926930069$1.2k
04-19 14:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.82$977.00
03-11 03:31Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.056$364.00
03-09 21:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.2500412626$1.5k