PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ABigWiner

0xab066433858887c916846180b4188d0094846512

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$143.6k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$20.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.029$14.25$110.75
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.011$5.75$44.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 1AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.3480.000$0.00$6.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22? · Up0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET · Up0.2260.000$0.00$22.57
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9? · Down0.4500.000$0.00$450.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20? · Up0.8400.000$0.00$84.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23? · Down0.1400.000$0.00$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-16 01:20Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$15.00
01-10 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9AM ETBUY0.45$12.95
12-07 00:07Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7PM ETBUY0.65$13.00
12-03 17:09Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.3$6.00
12-03 01:42Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 8PM ETBUY0.92$7.36
11-30 06:22Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 1AM ETBUY0.35$7.00
11-29 06:39Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 1AM ETBUY0.12$12.00
11-28 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
11-28 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.647$12.94
11-27 18:09Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.45$9.00
11-27 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12PM ETBUY0.35$7.00
11-27 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 11AM ETBUY0.8$16.00
11-27 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5AM ETBUY0.22$11.00
11-27 08:08Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.29$5.80
11-27 03:21Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10PM ETBUY0.3$30.00