ABigWiner
0xab066433858887c916846180b4188d0094846512
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $143.6k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $20.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$768.60at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?
- +$654.00at 0.414Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?
- +$599.25at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?
- +$597.80at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?
- +$549.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-16 01:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 01-10 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $12.95 |
| 12-07 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 12-03 17:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 12-03 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 11-30 06:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 11-29 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 11-28 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-28 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.647 | $12.94 |
| 11-27 18:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 11-27 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 11-27 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 11-27 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 11-27 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 11-27 03:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |