PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAb050A1F1390b817c1041EdDE6C6885168F84EC9-1746719301457

0xab050a1f1390b817c1041edde6c6885168f84ec9

Realised P&L
$293.89
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$9.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2100.215$4.75+$0.11
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2900.285$4.74−$0.08
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$22.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.4900.000$0.00−$4.83
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$8.50
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$4.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$19.05
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$9.25
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance · Japan0.2900.000$0.00−$4.00
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$9.72
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$52.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 12:46Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.289999994$4.82
09-26 20:26Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.75$29.47
09-26 20:08Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.3959266802$4.86
09-26 20:07Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
09-26 20:06Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.27$6.59
09-26 20:06Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.62$6.78
09-26 20:06Will England win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.74$2.29
09-26 20:00Will England win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.3799998969$1.18
09-26 19:58Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.05$1.22
09-26 17:35Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.4899999988$11.94
09-24 22:05Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999934$6.59
09-24 22:04Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.62$6.78
09-10 16:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3699999963$19.05
08-21 18:58Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.2099999652$4.64
08-21 18:57Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5099999799$11.15