0xAb050A1F1390b817c1041EdDE6C6885168F84EC9-1746719301457
0xab050a1f1390b817c1041edde6c6885168f84ec9
- Realised P&L
- $293.89
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $9.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.79at 0.280Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$143.81at 0.270Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$122.71at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.46at 0.690Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?
- +$11.03at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 12:46 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.289999994 | $4.82 |
| 09-26 20:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.75 | $29.47 |
| 09-26 20:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3959266802 | $4.86 |
| 09-26 20:07 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 20:06 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.59 |
| 09-26 20:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.78 |
| 09-26 20:06 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.29 |
| 09-26 20:00 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3799998969 | $1.18 |
| 09-26 19:58 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.22 |
| 09-26 17:35 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4899999988 | $11.94 |
| 09-24 22:05 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999934 | $6.59 |
| 09-24 22:04 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.78 |
| 09-10 16:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999963 | $19.05 |
| 08-21 18:58 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2099999652 | $4.64 |
| 08-21 18:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999799 | $11.15 |