PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Luke1906

0xab0188884ba7b4d1618de6f8bfbebdbfd6e5a875

Realised P&L
$4.41
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
430
Open portfolio
$62.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded430
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18? · No0.9991.000$31.32+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18? · No0.9991.000$31.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.999$31.00
09-17 12:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.9989999787$31.30
09-13 04:57Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?BUY0.9989999977$29.90
09-11 22:46Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?SELL0.999$20.70
09-11 03:31Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 11?BUY0.999$12.30
09-10 20:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?BUY0.999$20.70
09-07 14:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?BUY0.9969999793$25.20
09-06 21:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 7?BUY0.999$5.40
09-06 15:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?BUY0.998$8.50
09-06 05:23Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?BUY0.999$6.46
09-05 23:32Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?BUY0.999$12.07
09-05 08:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?BUY0.9989999778$7.82
09-05 02:08Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?BUY0.999$15.34
09-04 22:23Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?BUY0.998999987$28.60
09-04 17:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?BUY0.999$18.80