212w
0xaafbdf9b2998dadf6b5b1fd75531760f498b4691
- Realised P&L
- $-329.57
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $0.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hollywood Smothers be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.019 | $0.70 | −$2.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.630US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.700Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.943Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
- +$0.00at 0.790Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$0.00at 0.509Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 22:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.057 | $1.14 |
| 09-25 21:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.25 |
| 09-25 21:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.04 |
| 09-25 21:37 | Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.25 |
| 09-25 19:39 | Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.65 | $48.75 |
| 09-25 19:37 | Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 09-25 18:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.72 | $9.50 |
| 09-25 18:14 | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-25 17:41 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $63.75 |
| 09-25 15:23 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 09-25 12:59 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.74 | $55.50 |
| 09-25 00:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.763 | $61.04 |
| 09-24 23:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.4 | $75.60 |
| 09-24 21:25 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $52.50 |
| 09-24 19:07 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.65 | $78.00 |