nedior
0xaaf14515601bc31dea9274a975e1bf36a8295a7e
- Realised P&L
- $-12.80
- Volume
- $174.70
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $8.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.69at 0.780US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.580Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.38at 0.420Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?
- +$1.03at 0.660Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
- +$0.82at 0.550Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 20:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 20:03 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 15:36 | Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:36 | Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:36 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:36 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:34 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |