Frenchplane
0xaaeef40e648bf95d345d82c00379535408cbaea7
- Realised P&L
- $26.09
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,049
- Open portfolio
- $39.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,049
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.200 | $10.00 | +$4.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.700 | 0.705 | $3.52 | +$0.03 |
| Spread: Algeria (-2.5) · Niger | 0.660 | 0.650 | $3.25 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Albania (-4.5) · San Marino | 0.670 | 0.650 | $3.25 | −$0.10 |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.650 | 0.650 | $3.25 | +$0.00 |
| Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.615 | $3.07 | +$0.12 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.620 | 0.610 | $3.05 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Slovakia (-1.5) · Moldova | 0.580 | 0.550 | $2.75 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.540 | 0.525 | $2.63 | −$0.07 |
| Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.490 | 0.490 | $2.45 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) · North Macedonia | 0.500 | 0.485 | $2.42 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.15at 0.200Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
- +$41.70at 0.000Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$19.37at 0.560Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
- +$18.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4PM ET
- +$18.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 02:11 | Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-04 14:33 | Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-29 19:26 | Czechia vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 04:08 | Juventus FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-25 01:44 | AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-25 00:07 | CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-24 16:10 | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-23 04:44 | Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-23 04:44 | Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-17 20:13 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 08-13 02:19 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-13 02:14 | Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-13 02:08 | Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-13 01:36 | Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-02 15:48 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |