ZorroDeLaVega
0xaae9b2c5ad90e82b5068c7f8a4b491997633d661
- Realised P&L
- $45.1k
- Volume
- $671.5k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes | 0.907 | 0.514 | $5.1k | −$3.9k |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No | 0.494 | 0.392 | $1.5k | −$399.98 |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? · Yes | 0.801 | 0.580 | $643.61 | −$244.85 |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? · No | 0.200 | 0.420 | $5.21 | +$2.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.9kat 0.071Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$10.1kat 0.163Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
- +$8.8kat 0.061Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.609Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
- +$5.2kat 0.130Pro Football: Aaron Donald to sign with any team before 2026-27 Regular Season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:02 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.666713513 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 01:00 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.6653470726 | $424.00 |
| 08-01 21:40 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.559709126 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 14:23 | Will Trump say "Snake" in July? | BUY | 0.88 | $352.00 |
| 07-30 21:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.772 | $77.19 |
| 07-30 01:03 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.8251461754 | $271.41 |
| 07-30 01:01 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.8737465325 | $71.18 |
| 07-29 20:16 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.646 | $3.23 |
| 07-29 14:36 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4901910247 | $1.5k |
| 07-29 14:23 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.4692912 | $23.46 |
| 07-29 14:14 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.598683474 | $3.0k |
| 07-16 21:24 | Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation? | SELL | 0.7407650524 | $290.48 |
| 07-16 16:25 | Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.8690437381 | $277.00 |
| 07-16 16:22 | Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.9 | $358.99 |
| 07-16 15:35 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8411497559 | $6.8k |