makous2560
0xaae8fd8d38d167880a7f792a1b6bad126a19d227
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $19.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-60.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Rockets vs. Shanxi Loongs · Shanxi Loongs | 0.860 | 0.961 | $14.41 | +$1.51 |
| Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 0.750 | 0.505 | $1.26 | −$0.61 |
| Spread: Zhejiang Lions (-7.5) · Fujian Sturgeons | 0.550 | 0.550 | $1.12 | +$0.00 |
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers · Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 0.870 | 0.825 | $1.06 | −$0.06 |
| Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-11.5) · Shanxi Loongs | 0.570 | 0.390 | $0.77 | −$0.35 |
| Spread: Jilin Northeast Tigers (-1.5) · Jilin Northeast Tigers | 0.780 | 0.495 | $0.71 | −$0.41 |
| Cervia (Doubles): Bianchi/Sheehy vs Taverna/Hernandez · Bianchi/Sheehy | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva · Elvina Kalieva | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.696 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals · San Diego Padres | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.32 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.726 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Kings vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.873 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| ITF Pelham: Savannah Broadus vs Amelia Honer · Amelia Honer | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Zhang Mingyang | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.883Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
- +$1.15at 0.537Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
- +$1.07at 0.537Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$1.05at 0.577Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
- +$1.04at 0.518Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:13 | Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers | BUY | 0.8699999146 | $1.12 |
| 10-20 10:12 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | BUY | 0.75 | $1.87 |
| 10-20 10:11 | Spread: Jilin Northeast Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7799999304 | $1.12 |
| 10-20 10:11 | Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-11.5) | BUY | 0.5699997913 | $1.12 |
| 10-20 10:11 | Spread: Zhejiang Lions (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5499999018 | $1.12 |
| 10-20 10:10 | Ningbo Rockets vs. Shanxi Loongs | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 10-20 10:10 | Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Dominik Palan | BUY | 0.66 | $1.32 |
| 06-04 09:43 | Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney | BUY | 0.8499999654 | $1.23 |
| 06-04 09:43 | Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva | BUY | 0.6199999193 | $1.23 |
| 06-04 09:43 | Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic | BUY | 0.7899999061 | $1.43 |
| 06-04 09:42 | Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint | BUY | 0.64 | $1.78 |
| 06-04 09:42 | Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Caijsa Hennemann | BUY | 0.95 | $1.67 |
| 06-04 09:42 | Roland Garros Juniors, Girls: Ha-Eum Lee vs Victoria Barros | BUY | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 06-04 09:42 | Roland Garros Juniors, Girls: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 06-04 09:42 | Birmingham (Doubles): Harris/Virtanen vs Bu/Zhang | BUY | 0.998 | $1.02 |