PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CatalinRadut

0xaae6d056c3c753d5c3230dccd7d276f12fa87689

Realised P&L
$-20.90
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$2.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams? · Yes0.4600.515$1.12+$0.12
Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? · Yes0.1000.085$0.85−$0.15
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? · Yes0.3110.130$0.42−$0.58
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.1900.046$0.24−$0.76
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$7.16
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:38Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-28 09:38Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams?BUY0.1$1.00
04-22 20:22Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.1$10.00
04-22 20:16Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.0988142292$10.00
03-30 16:37Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.0632055172$7.16
03-30 16:35Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?BUY0.1$1.00
03-30 16:33Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
03-25 19:49Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
03-25 19:49Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5139999993$10.00
03-21 00:34Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
03-21 00:32Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?BUY0.0509999762$2.00
03-21 00:25Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?BUY0.02$1.00
03-21 00:25Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3.5m and 4m?BUY0.0226920762$10.00
03-21 00:23Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?BUY0.3112840467$1.00
03-21 00:22Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1099999032$1.00