0xaae0295a4e9a1f7cee909f724436aab42f90bff3
0xaae0295a4e9a1f7cee909f724436aab42f90bff3
- Realised P&L
- $-26.76
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $96.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.885 | $65.38 | +$15.88 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.780 | $29.92 | +$1.92 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.380 | $1.14 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.90at 0.695LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
- +$11.86at 0.700Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$9.28at 0.584LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
- +$6.66at 0.858Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$6.01at 0.884Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 20:17 | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-15 06:31 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $6.72 |
| 10-14 20:33 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 20:33 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.889999996 | $11.00 |
| 10-14 20:31 | AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $11.48 |
| 10-14 20:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 20:17 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.60 |
| 10-14 20:00 | AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 19:59 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 19:59 | Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.46 |
| 10-14 19:21 | Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 19:19 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 18:18 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 17:59 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.17 |
| 10-14 17:44 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.9929999876 | $38.94 |