0xaaDdb2e049cf24EF1A2293c791b7aA74e683E2d7-1774216037271
0xaaddb2e049cf24ef1a2293c791b7aa74e683e2d7
- Realised P&L
- $-139.23
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $136.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $118.12 | −$6.22 |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.135 | $18.65 | +$0.89 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down | 0.274 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up | 0.483 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.66at 0.600Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$7.24at 0.434Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$-0.71at 0.014Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-5.00at 0.022Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
- +$-10.96at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 20:42 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.1285523377 | $17.76 |
| 10-17 18:06 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 10-16 21:03 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.00 |
| 10-16 09:16 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $103.34 |
| 08-06 14:06 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.20 |
| 04-18 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $0.87 |
| 04-18 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $17.47 |
| 04-18 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $53.61 |
| 04-18 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.91 |
| 04-18 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3970741902 | $17.35 |
| 04-18 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $4.70 |
| 04-18 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $4.70 |
| 04-18 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $4.71 |
| 04-18 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999812 | $10.35 |
| 04-18 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.71 |