PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaaDdb2e049cf24EF1A2293c791b7aA74e683E2d7-1774216037271

0xaaddb2e049cf24ef1a2293c791b7aa74e683e2d7

Realised P&L
$-139.23
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$136.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.095$118.12−$6.22
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.1290.135$18.65+$0.89
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.2740.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.4480.000$0.00−$68.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.4830.000$0.00−$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$81.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.2270.000$0.00−$21.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 20:42Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.1285523377$17.76
10-17 18:06Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$12.00
10-16 21:03Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$9.00
10-16 09:16Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$103.34
08-06 14:06Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$1.20
04-18 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.089999919$0.87
04-18 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.1199999952$17.47
04-18 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.2599999977$53.61
04-18 14:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.91
04-18 14:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.3970741902$17.35
04-18 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.5899999705$4.70
04-18 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.5899999705$4.70
04-18 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.599999976$4.71
04-18 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.5899999812$10.35
04-18 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.32$2.71