cthtest
0xaadb0195b9bd6ce427d3510322f9f7280dd58de6
- Realised P&L
- $-20.14
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $47.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC St. Gallen 1879 (-1.5) · FC Lugano | 0.999 | 0.998 | $20.19 | −$0.02 |
| FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.900 | 1.000 | $15.39 | +$1.53 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.260 | 0.235 | $4.73 | −$0.50 |
| FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.840 | 1.000 | $3.53 | +$0.56 |
| AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $2.57 | +$0.59 |
| Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) · Ararat-Armenia FA | 0.325 | 0.060 | $1.29 | −$5.69 |
| Bryne FK vs. Stabaek IF: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) · Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.80 |
| Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5) · Club Santos Laguna | 0.311 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
| Bryne FK vs. Stabaek IF: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5) · Villarreal CF | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.18at 0.396FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5
- +$25.38at 0.492Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$17.70at 0.115Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
- +$12.63at 0.694Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
- +$10.15at 0.462Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:19 | Spread: FC St. Gallen 1879 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $20.21 |
| 09-16 17:57 | Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $1.96 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3274054759 | $5.02 |
| 09-16 17:39 | FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $13.86 |
| 09-16 17:26 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.18 | $10.09 |
| 09-16 17:26 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2599999971 | $19.80 |
| 09-16 17:08 | AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7699999922 | $1.98 |
| 09-16 17:05 | FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8399999774 | $2.97 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Hibernian FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4399999358 | $1.92 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Hibernian FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4399999888 | $15.66 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 19:34 | West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.55 |
| 09-15 19:16 | Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.609999783 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 19:16 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.8599999939 | $42.50 |