PolyBot

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Traders

Chersi

0xaad3fa4f7750db41b83935a155304fa6e227e666

Realised P&L
$250.30
Volume
$243.7k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$163.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2730.105$115.36−$184.64
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No0.4010.325$48.62−$11.38
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$40.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · No0.6690.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$10.00
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$250.00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 15:54Will Russia invade another country in 2026?SELL0.0539183392$17.97
10-09 15:53Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?SELL0.2$10.17
10-09 15:52Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$7.14
10-09 15:52NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$42.68
10-09 15:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.524$40.10
09-28 20:43Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.4404596355$20.00
09-28 05:42Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?SELL0.05$12.50
09-17 02:07Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0599999999$20.00
09-17 02:02Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.08$20.00
09-17 01:59Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2730530747$300.00
09-17 01:52Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3599999997$250.00
09-17 01:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3919999961$30.00
09-16 07:36Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?SELL0.01$1.44
09-16 07:36Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.23$71.88
09-05 00:50Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.09$24.54