Chersi
0xaad3fa4f7750db41b83935a155304fa6e227e666
- Realised P&L
- $250.30
- Volume
- $243.7k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $163.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.86at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$225.93at 0.670Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$212.19at 0.320Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$198.15at 0.335Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
- +$185.60at 0.350Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:54 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.0539183392 | $17.97 |
| 10-09 15:53 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.17 |
| 10-09 15:52 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.14 |
| 10-09 15:52 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $42.68 |
| 10-09 15:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.524 | $40.10 |
| 09-28 20:43 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.4404596355 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 05:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 09-17 02:07 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 02:02 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 01:59 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2730530747 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 01:52 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $250.00 |
| 09-17 01:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3919999961 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 07:36 | Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.44 |
| 09-16 07:36 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $71.88 |
| 09-05 00:50 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.09 | $24.54 |