PolyBot

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Traders

0xaac8ee6a5fc238ffeeb2b10b3da02de8d4c7d67e

Realised P&L
$1.76
Volume
$84.46
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$12.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No0.5900.875$2.97+$0.97
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4200.425$2.02+$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7800.745$1.91$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7200.665$1.85$0.15
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? · No0.6700.605$1.69$0.18
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · Yes0.2400.165$1.37$0.63
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.114$0.76$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:29Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
08-04 08:29Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-04 00:28Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 16:27Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.5$2.00
08-03 08:25Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-02 23:46Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
08-02 15:44Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-02 04:53Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-01 20:53Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-01 12:52Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7799996958$2.00
08-01 04:02Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
08-01 04:02New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 19:53Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 11:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.41$1.23
07-30 20:15Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95