0xaac8ee6a5fc238ffeeb2b10b3da02de8d4c7d67e
- Realised P&L
- $1.76
- Volume
- $84.46
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $12.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.875 | $2.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.425 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.745 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.665 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? · No | 0.670 | 0.605 | $1.69 | −$0.18 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.165 | $1.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.76 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.500Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing?
- +$1.89at 0.370Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.77at 0.410Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.490Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.720Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:29 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:27 | Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:25 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:44 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 04:53 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 20:53 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799996958 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 04:02 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 08-01 04:02 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-31 19:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 11:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.23 |
| 07-30 20:15 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |