0xaac8ee6a5fc238ffeeb2b10b3da02de8d4c7d67e
0xaac8ee6a5fc238ffeeb2b10b3da02de8d4c7d67e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.29
- Volume
- $228.02
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $3.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.720 | $3.43 | +$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.88at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.50at 0.369Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20?
- +$2.61at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:21 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 12:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 23:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 15:11 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:50 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:37 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 15:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 13:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 21:38 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 11:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 23:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 14:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |