0xaac7ee505209445e979768bf14a354ff5632f6f8
0xaac7ee505209445e979768bf14a354ff5632f6f8
- Realised P&L
- $6.23
- Volume
- $102.88
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $21.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.243 | $4.84 | +$2.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.140 | $4.18 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.390 | $4.07 | +$2.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 11? · No | 0.470 | 0.520 | $2.60 | +$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13? · No | 0.330 | 0.325 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.170 | $1.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.225 | $1.57 | +$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.76at 0.295Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$0.86at 0.699Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$0.61at 0.767Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$0.01at 0.996Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999299 | $1.94 |
| 10-11 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.95 |
| 10-11 16:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $1.89 |
| 10-11 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |