PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xaac4159b36ded91948d4337334742152956e0b70

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$17.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$15.75−$5.25
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$1.50−$1.50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$11.64
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$4.00
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.85
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$29.43
Will George Simion win by over 18%? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$4.88
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$3.00
Will George Simion win by 6–12%? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$3.00
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$1.87
Will George Simion win by 12–18%? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$5.00
Will another candidate win? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$2.00
Will George Simion win by 0–6%? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$8.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 00:02Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$21.00
10-26 00:01Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$3.00
04-12 19:07Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.0289999931$4.00
04-10 19:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.2987079021$25.43
04-10 19:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY0.002$4.00
01-14 20:05US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999325$1.88
01-14 20:03Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
01-14 18:59Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2699999838$11.64
12-07 18:14Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.0204698741$6.07
05-18 11:26Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?BUY0.17$1.87
05-18 11:25Will George Simion win by over 18%?BUY0.027$1.62
05-18 11:25Will George Simion win by over 18%?BUY0.026$0.26
05-18 11:24Will George Simion win by 12–18%?BUY0.025$2.00
05-18 11:24Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?BUY0.037$1.85
05-18 11:22Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?SELL0.81$7.71