0xaac4159b36ded91948d4337334742152956e0b70
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $17.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.71at 0.210Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:02 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $21.00 |
| 10-26 00:01 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 04-12 19:07 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.0289999931 | $4.00 |
| 04-10 19:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.2987079021 | $25.43 |
| 04-10 19:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 01-14 20:05 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999325 | $1.88 |
| 01-14 20:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 01-14 18:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2699999838 | $11.64 |
| 12-07 18:14 | Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.0204698741 | $6.07 |
| 05-18 11:26 | Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.87 |
| 05-18 11:25 | Will George Simion win by over 18%? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.62 |
| 05-18 11:25 | Will George Simion win by over 18%? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.26 |
| 05-18 11:24 | Will George Simion win by 12–18%? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 11:24 | Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.85 |
| 05-18 11:22 | Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more? | SELL | 0.81 | $7.71 |