PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LuckyQuant

0xaabf501d7d1e6244647691d9700f5a4f939d488a

Realised P&L
$-76.77
Volume
$79.2k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$11.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0800.043$2.85−$2.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0030.004$2.04+$0.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0130.007$1.80−$1.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0270.009$1.60−$3.40
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.2700.185$1.37−$0.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0080.004$0.95−$1.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0040.002$0.33−$0.67
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.1100.018$0.16−$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 00:40Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0969999995$3.38
10-03 00:40Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0269999998$3.00
10-03 00:39Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
10-03 00:39Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0125180549$2.00
10-03 00:38Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0087899209$1.00
10-03 00:38Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.003$1.00
10-03 00:38Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0044843049$1.00
10-02 15:29Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.3926873857$5.37
10-02 15:29Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0619999991$2.00
10-02 15:28Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.026061776$2.00
10-02 15:28Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.008$1.00
10-02 15:27Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.004$1.00
10-02 15:25Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-02 15:25Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.0124792413$1.00
08-05 05:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.4399998779$1.73