LuckyQuant
0xaabf501d7d1e6244647691d9700f5a4f939d488a
- Realised P&L
- $-76.77
- Volume
- $79.2k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $11.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.043 | $2.85 | −$2.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.007 | $1.80 | −$1.20 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.009 | $1.60 | −$3.40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.185 | $1.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $0.95 | −$1.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.018 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.24at 0.037Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$12.71at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$8.08at 0.409Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.40at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$1.18at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0969999995 | $3.38 |
| 10-03 00:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 00:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 00:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0125180549 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 00:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0087899209 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 00:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 00:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0044843049 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.3926873857 | $5.37 |
| 10-02 15:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0619999991 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 15:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.026061776 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 15:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0124792413 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998779 | $1.73 |