MBRYAN
0xaabc7446bf028cf28b23709390638a63eda5a190
- Realised P&L
- $289.89
- Volume
- $230.9k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $660.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.154 | $660.61 | +$230.62 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Adam Hendrix win the 2025 WSOP Main Event? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Colts vs. Texans: O/U 38.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Georgia vs. Mississippi State · Mississippi State | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford · Canelo | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Vanderbilt (-8.5) · Kentucky | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) · Buccaneers | 0.454 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$599.99 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.152US military action against Iran by Sunday?
- +$2.1kat 0.700Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.2kat 0.520Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5
- +$1.2kat 0.677Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$944.16at 0.515France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 00:52 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $400.00 |
| 08-25 12:41 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1218637845 | $55.00 |
| 08-25 12:40 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1209625912 | $75.00 |
| 08-05 22:39 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0932749871 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 16:58 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 03:42 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0943159903 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 02:04 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $740.00 |
| 07-31 02:32 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $450.00 |
| 07-21 01:03 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.3886688083 | $160.00 |
| 07-19 20:22 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999993 | $340.00 |
| 07-19 20:22 | Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $13.50 |
| 07-19 20:22 | Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.68 | $580.00 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5939999997 | $600.00 |
| 07-19 17:13 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 04:24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.1770997863 | $101.09 |