MaadKidGoodCity
0xaababdf8d4226d54ce7788143afeffb0e666a1d7
- Realised P&L
- $-413.93
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $25.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.130 | $15.68 | −$4.32 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.023 | $9.57 | −$40.43 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.23at 0.487Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$36.32at 0.730Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$26.28at 0.677Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$22.89at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$21.78at 0.645Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 15:43 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1658439494 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 15:40 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1202150101 | $50.00 |
| 04-01 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999227 | $1.35 |
| 04-01 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $1.15 |
| 04-01 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $0.93 |
| 04-01 07:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.38 |
| 03-31 04:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.05 |
| 03-31 04:51 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.05 |
| 03-29 10:04 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.074664169 | $6.67 |
| 03-29 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $1.68 |
| 03-29 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $2.93 |
| 03-29 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $0.98 |
| 03-29 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.48 |
| 03-29 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $0.98 |
| 03-29 09:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $8.54 |