Yana14
0xaaa8ba0f4937467a92392a1ddb54944b4d81728a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.97
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $0.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.015 | $0.28 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 30?
- +$1.01at 0.036Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5?
- +$0.27at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1?
- +$0.13at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 08-03 15:38 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 08-03 13:54 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.78 |
| 08-03 07:58 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-02 09:01 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.84 |
| 07-31 17:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:15 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 07-30 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.38 |
| 07-30 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 07-30 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.55 |
| 07-30 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-29 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |