mitcher99
0xaaa10426cb1c7479f94232e5d2e5e11ea12e78e4
- Realised P&L
- $-10.00
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $98.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.145 | $85.57 | +$25.42 |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.065 | $13.00 | +$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-10.00at 0.050Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:26 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $18.52 |
| 10-05 19:25 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 10-05 19:06 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 10-05 08:25 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |