BlueMartin
0xaa9e0b518604927effab53a680899271d8c42bfe
- Realised P&L
- $105.63
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $14.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.180 | $14.48 | −$10.52 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.39at 0.400US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$72.42at 0.435US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$52.50at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$13.47at 0.680Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
- +$11.09at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 14:59 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.21851323 | $25.00 |
| 05-25 14:58 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.3107387359 | $25.00 |
| 05-25 07:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.88 |
| 05-25 07:38 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $7.50 |
| 05-25 07:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.025 | $12.50 |
| 05-24 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 05-24 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 19:52 | Will VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 05-07 22:02 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL | 0.403 | $21.45 |
| 05-05 00:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 05-04 23:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 05-04 21:17 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 21:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 04-29 11:07 | Will VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | BUY | 0.180221356 | $11.09 |
| 04-29 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |